Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.892116 1.005248 1.128622 1.273381 1.438865 1.622468 1.842063
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.712500 0.863791 1.042540 1.270264 1.554020 1.897689 2.348090
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.605222 0.769073 0.972960 1.247109 1.608829 2.073533 2.721798
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.548634 0.724985 0.954140 1.276620 1.723353 2.327126 3.216395
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.489471 0.668223 0.909059 1.261233 1.769713 2.487435 3.595357
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.450506 0.633323 0.887821 1.273184 1.851071 2.700094 4.069227
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.409822 0.591148 0.850943 1.256680 1.886030 2.844515 4.452495
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.377583 0.557704 0.822723 1.248675 1.930567 3.004757 4.875566
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.338531 0.510367 0.769089 1.195448 1.897112 3.035821 5.085872
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.321468 0.495031 0.762674 1.215394 1.982334 3.266612 5.661526
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.306855 0.482113 0.758576 1.237996 2.073036 3.514244 6.295115
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.290855 0.465538 0.746948 1.246385 2.139172 3.724432 6.883621
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.274446 0.447388 0.731844 1.248428 2.196086 3.927345 7.491622
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.261532 0.434112 0.723874 1.262261 2.275785 4.181014 8.234516
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.243348 0.410362 0.695875 1.237141 2.279614 4.289551 8.693111
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.235486 0.403949 0.697621 1.266670 2.390346 4.617968 9.659142
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.221557 0.385696 0.676701 1.251380 2.411099 4.766803 10.251917
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.212669 0.375874 0.670294 1.263232 2.487082 5.036894 11.153909
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.200682 0.359500 0.650482 1.246870 2.503016 5.180656 11.780599
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.190721 0.346231 0.635548 1.238934 2.535687 5.363771 12.526623
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.176049 0.323092 0.600109 1.186163 2.466760 5.312896 12.686178
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.170979 0.318080 0.599591 1.205938 2.558875 5.638479 13.848788
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.166487 0.313880 0.600335 1.228347 2.658924 5.993474 15.141965